Release time:2026-01-16
GREEN BEAN COFFEE:
Brazil:
Arabica exports are lagging due to farmer retention, but crop size is not an issue as supply will eventually flow.
Favorable weather reduces risk premium.
Producers are still holding back coffee, limiting liquidity short-term.
Strong demand for Brazil and Robusta for Q2/Q3 deliveries.
Vietnam:
New crop harvest nearly complete.
Farmer retention and firm differentials support Robusta.
Most stocks appear to be well covered for short-term.
Uganda:
Most coffee operations will close the rest of the week in observance of national elections
A few disruptions to supply chains are expected as cargo clearance will slow down
Commercial activities are expected to resume the following week and continue throughout this period as normal.
Indonesia:
Indonesia shipments delayed but expected soon more supply later.
Several Sumatra regions remain isolated, and their coffee cannot be brought to market.
The harvest outlook for the next 1-2 months is limited.
MARKET TREND
Demand is strongest for Brazil medium to good bean and Robusta. Multiple buyers such as Mother Parker's, Regal, Magnum, Westrock, and Kraft seeking Q2/Q3 deliveries and nearby shipments. A recent increase in inquiries for washed mild coffees, with Duncan's, Black Rifle, and Javo for Q2/Q3 and year-end deliveries has been noticed.
Honduras is expected to gain more business due to its competitive pricing compared to Colombia and Guatemala, as roasters with flexible baskets are likely to shift purchases.
Recent speculative buying and technical may trigger higher prices.
Zhenjiang Heng Goodwill Food Co Ltd
Sabrina Shen
Phone(WhatsApp): +86 151 62996833