Market highlights Week 02/2026 On Global Supply & Demand of Green Coffee Bean

Release time:2026-01-16

GREEN BEAN COFFEE:

Brazil:

  • Arabica exports are lagging due to farmer retention, but crop size is not an issue as supply will eventually flow.

  • Favorable weather reduces risk premium.

  • Producers are still holding back coffee, limiting liquidity short-term.

  • Strong demand for Brazil and Robusta for Q2/Q3 deliveries.

 

Vietnam:

  • New crop harvest nearly complete.

  • Farmer retention and firm differentials support Robusta.

  • Most stocks appear to be well covered for short-term.

 

Uganda:

  • Most coffee operations will close the rest of the week in observance of national elections

  • A few disruptions to supply chains are expected ascargo clearance will slow down

  • Commercial activities are expected to resume the following week and continue throughout this period as normal.

 

Indonesia:

  • Indonesia shipments delayed but expected soon more supply later.

  • Several Sumatra regions remain isolated, and their coffee cannot be brought to market.

  • The harvest outlook for the next 1-2 months is limited.

 

MARKET TREND

  • Demand is strongest for Brazil medium to good bean and Robusta. Multiple buyers such as Mother Parker's, Regal, Magnum, Westrock, and Kraft seeking Q2/Q3 deliveries and nearby shipments. A recent increase in inquiries for washed mild coffees, with Duncan's, Black Rifle, and Javo for Q2/Q3 and year-end deliveries has been noticed.

  • Honduras is expected to gain more business due to its competitive pricing compared to Colombia and Guatemala, as roasters with flexible baskets are likely to shift purchases.

  • Recent speculative buying and technical may trigger higher prices.


Zhenjiang Heng Goodwill Food Co Ltd

Sabrina Shen

Phone(WhatsApp): +86 151 62996833

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