Industry News

The coffee market started trading on Wednesday (11) with declines on international exchanges. On the New York Stock Exchange (ICE Futures US), the benchmark for Arabica coffee, the main contracts were trading lower in early trading, while Robusta traded on the London Stock Exchange (ICE Europe) also recorded a decline.In addition to technical fluctuations on the exchanges, the market is closely monitoring the behavior of Brazilian exports. Data released by the Brazilian Coffee Exporters Council (Cecafé) indicate that the country's green coffee exports fell by about 27% in February compared to the same period last year, reflecting lower product availability during the period and adjustments in the flow of shipments.The behavior of Brazilian exports has a significant impact on the international market, as Brazil remains the largest global supplier of the commodity. Changes in the pace of shipments can influence the perception of supply in the short term and impact stock market prices.In the Brazilian physical market, the scenario continues with a slower pace of business. According to market analyses, Arabica producers are showing little willingness to negotiate the remaining volumes of the 2025/26 harvest at current price levels, while buyers continue to act cautiously in view of the volatility observed on international exchanges.Another factor being monitored by operators is the weather in Brazil's producing regions. Forecasts indicate continued rainfall in coffee-growing areas of Minas Gerais throughout the week, with accumulations that may contribute to maintaining soil moisture in the fields, a condition considered important for plant development.The coffee market remains sensitive to a combination of external and internal factors, including the behavior of international stock markets, the flow of Brazilian exports, weather conditions in producing regions, and the progress of negotiations in the physical market.Zhenjiang Heng Goodwill Food Co.,LtdSabeian Shen+86 15162996833

GREEN BEAN COFFEE:Brazil:Arabica exports are lagging due to farmer retention, but crop size is not an issue as supply will eventually flow.Favorable weather reduces risk premium.Producers are still holding back coffee, limiting liquidity short-term.Strong demand for Brazil and Robusta for Q2/Q3 deliveries. Vietnam:New crop harvest nearly complete.Farmer retention and firm differentials support Robusta.Most stocks appear to be well covered for short-term. Uganda:Most coffee operations will close the rest of the week in observance of national electionsA few disruptions to supply chains are expected as cargo clearance will slow downCommercial activities are expected to resume the following week and continue throughout this period as normal. Indonesia:Indonesia shipments delayed but expected soon more supply later.Several Sumatra regions remain isolated, and their coffee cannot be brought to market.The harvest outlook for the next 1-2 months is limited. MARKET TRENDDemand is strongest for Brazil medium to good bean and Robusta. Multiple buyers such as Mother Parker's, Regal, Magnum, Westrock, and Kraft seeking Q2/Q3 deliveries and nearby shipments. A recent increase in inquiries for washed mild coffees, with Duncan's, Black Rifle, and Javo for Q2/Q3 and year-end deliveries has been noticed.Honduras is expected to gain more business due to its competitive pricing compared to Colombia and Guatemala, as roasters with flexible baskets are likely to shift purchases.Recent speculative buying and technical may trigger higher prices.Zhenjiang Heng Goodwill Food Co LtdSabrina ShenPhone(WhatsApp): +86 151 62996833

Brazil: A shift from a consistent wet pattern to a dry one has caught the attention of agronomists. The development of the 2026/27 crop is currently in the bean formation and growth phase, where ample precipitation is necessary. It is important to note that a temporary dry period should not raise concerns yet, given that soil moisture up to this point has been plentiful. However, any extended lack of rain could generate unwelcome stress to trees and should be watched closely in the weeks ahead. Mexico & Central America: The crop has been slightly delayed, but most origins are fulfilling their early-season shipping commitments without much delay. Quality reports so far have been positive and despite the chronic challenges with labor and rising costs, the crop outlook is positive. Colombia: While the current October-January crop has been mostly disappointing and scarce, the outlook for the April-August harvest is much more positive. Climatic conditions have been adequate and the overall health of the plants is optimal. Coffee flow will begin to slow down over the next several weeks and a sense of scarcity will be felt most strongly around March and April. Uganda: The country is in the off-season for Arabica and harvesting activities are expected to resume in February. Traders are currently focusing on crop surveys with the objective of getting a clearer picture of the harvest outlook. Vietnam: Robusta harvest has completed more than 90% by end of December. Farmers expect to have sold 24% of their crop production, with target to sell total 35% before Tet holiday coming by middle of February. Prices have seen to start increasing since the middle of December.Sabrina ShenPhone: +86 15162996833Email: admxu@hengfood.com

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Market highlights Week 52/2025 On Global  Coffee Bean Supply & Demand GREEN BEAN COFFEE:Brazil:  Projected output is 49.7 million bags of Arabica and 25.9m bags of Robusta. Both Cerrado and Rondonia are expected to produce record amounts of coffee as climatic conditions continue to be nearly ideal across all regions.Mexico & Central America: The region’s crop is evolving well with promising quality and output. A relatively quiet period will emerge over the next couple of weeks as coffee people take a break for the Christmas and New Year holidays.Indonesia: Coffee availability for prompt shipment is practically nonexistent. The road to Aceh remains impassable and there are major disruptions to North Sumatra’s main harvest. Exporters are scrambling to negotiate shipment delays and avoid looming defaults. Food and fuel have begun to flow in just enough quantities to Aceh, but availability is limited. Farmers are expecting to reactivate harvesting activities over the next couple of weeks.Vietnam: Improving climatic conditions have reactivated local coffee flow as local traders seek commercial opportunities. Despite prices softening in response to the London market, producers are showing strong resistance to aggressive selling.