Industry News

GREEN BEAN COFFEE:Brazil:Arabica exports are lagging due to farmer retention, but crop size is not an issue as supply will eventually flow.Favorable weather reduces risk premium.Producers are still holding back coffee, limiting liquidity short-term.Strong demand for Brazil and Robusta for Q2/Q3 deliveries. Vietnam:New crop harvest nearly complete.Farmer retention and firm differentials support Robusta.Most stocks appear to be well covered for short-term. Uganda:Most coffee operations will close the rest of the week in observance of national electionsA few disruptions to supply chains are expected as cargo clearance will slow downCommercial activities are expected to resume the following week and continue throughout this period as normal. Indonesia:Indonesia shipments delayed but expected soon more supply later.Several Sumatra regions remain isolated, and their coffee cannot be brought to market.The harvest outlook for the next 1-2 months is limited. MARKET TRENDDemand is strongest for Brazil medium to good bean and Robusta. Multiple buyers such as Mother Parker's, Regal, Magnum, Westrock, and Kraft seeking Q2/Q3 deliveries and nearby shipments. A recent increase in inquiries for washed mild coffees, with Duncan's, Black Rifle, and Javo for Q2/Q3 and year-end deliveries has been noticed.Honduras is expected to gain more business due to its competitive pricing compared to Colombia and Guatemala, as roasters with flexible baskets are likely to shift purchases.Recent speculative buying and technical may trigger higher prices.Zhenjiang Heng Goodwill Food Co LtdSabrina ShenPhone(WhatsApp): +86 151 62996833

Brazil: A shift from a consistent wet pattern to a dry one has caught the attention of agronomists. The development of the 2026/27 crop is currently in the bean formation and growth phase, where ample precipitation is necessary. It is important to note that a temporary dry period should not raise concerns yet, given that soil moisture up to this point has been plentiful. However, any extended lack of rain could generate unwelcome stress to trees and should be watched closely in the weeks ahead. Mexico & Central America: The crop has been slightly delayed, but most origins are fulfilling their early-season shipping commitments without much delay. Quality reports so far have been positive and despite the chronic challenges with labor and rising costs, the crop outlook is positive. Colombia: While the current October-January crop has been mostly disappointing and scarce, the outlook for the April-August harvest is much more positive. Climatic conditions have been adequate and the overall health of the plants is optimal. Coffee flow will begin to slow down over the next several weeks and a sense of scarcity will be felt most strongly around March and April. Uganda: The country is in the off-season for Arabica and harvesting activities are expected to resume in February. Traders are currently focusing on crop surveys with the objective of getting a clearer picture of the harvest outlook. Vietnam: Robusta harvest has completed more than 90% by end of December. Farmers expect to have sold 24% of their crop production, with target to sell total 35% before Tet holiday coming by middle of February. Prices have seen to start increasing since the middle of December.Sabrina ShenPhone: +86 15162996833Email: admxu@hengfood.com

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Market highlights Week 52/2025 On Global  Coffee Bean Supply & Demand GREEN BEAN COFFEE:Brazil:  Projected output is 49.7 million bags of Arabica and 25.9m bags of Robusta. Both Cerrado and Rondonia are expected to produce record amounts of coffee as climatic conditions continue to be nearly ideal across all regions.Mexico & Central America: The region’s crop is evolving well with promising quality and output. A relatively quiet period will emerge over the next couple of weeks as coffee people take a break for the Christmas and New Year holidays.Indonesia: Coffee availability for prompt shipment is practically nonexistent. The road to Aceh remains impassable and there are major disruptions to North Sumatra’s main harvest. Exporters are scrambling to negotiate shipment delays and avoid looming defaults. Food and fuel have begun to flow in just enough quantities to Aceh, but availability is limited. Farmers are expecting to reactivate harvesting activities over the next couple of weeks.Vietnam: Improving climatic conditions have reactivated local coffee flow as local traders seek commercial opportunities. Despite prices softening in response to the London market, producers are showing strong resistance to aggressive selling.

GREEN BEAN COFFEE:European Union: The European Parliament approved a one-year delay to the implementation of the deforestation law known as EUDR. This regulation is now expected to come into effect on December 30, 2026. Deforestation rules were originally set to be enforced at the end of 2024, but a similar one-year delay was extended to allow companies to ensure compliance. This latest postponement is not yet official as it still requires a signed amendment between the European Parliament and the Council. But both bodies have now voted in favor of postponement Brazil: Coffee exporters expect it will take several months to make up for the volumes they were unable to ship to the US during the period of steep tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. The decline in Brazil’s shipments has resulted in a sharp reduction of certified stocks. Coffee flow has decreased despite the removal of US tariffs on Brazilian coffee as producers slow down sales before year-end. Expectations are for trade volumes to improve in January, but local market actors remain cautious. Climatic conditions remain favorable for new crop development. Uganda: The season is over and most washing stations have either closed or plan to do so by the end of the month. Local traders and exporters are focused on fulfilling remaining shipment obligations. Robusta: The season is approaching its peak with more volume and quality consistency in daily deliveries to dry mills and hulling stations. Indonesia: Last Wednesday torrential rains of unprecedented scale inundated the Sumatra provinces of Aceh, North Sumatra and West Sumatra, coinciding with the region's main harvest. The coffee growing districts of Bener Meriah and Aceh Tengah, which produce a majority of the Sumatra Arabica crop, have experienced severely damaged infrastructure, with most communities isolated at the time of this report. Vietnam: Heavy rains and flooding have damaged coffee production areas in Vietnam. This has resulted in a substantial number of cherries falling from trees, lowering the crop outlook between 5% and 10%. The pace of harvesting has also been affected with only 15% progress compared to an average of 26% for this time of the year.Sabrina+86 151 6299 68332025.12.05